Nigel Farage is poised for a potential ascent to the position of Prime Minister, according to concerning polling data.
A detailed analysis conducted by YouGov, surveying 13,000 individuals, indicates that Farage’s Reform UK party could secure 311 seats in the House of Commons in a hypothetical current election scenario. While this falls slightly short of a majority, it would effectively block any other party from leading the nation.
Reform UK, which currently holds five parliamentary seats, would significantly overshadow other major parties. The survey suggests that the Labour Party would only secure 144 out of the 650 seats, a sharp decline from the 411 seats won in the previous election. The Liberal Democrats would hold 78 seats, while the Conservative Party would face near decimation.
The polling data projects that Kemi Badenoch’s party would secure 45 seats, with the SNP expected to gain 37 seats and the Greens anticipated to claim seven seats.
This projected outcome would mark Labour’s poorest performance in the Commons since 1931, surpassing even the disappointing 2019 general election results under Jeremy Corbyn, where Labour secured 202 seats.
Notable casualties from the Labour Party would include Yvette Cooper, Wes Streeting, Ed Miliband, Bridget Phillipson, Lisa Nandy, and Angela Rayner. Additionally, the Conservatives are predicted to lose 60% of their frontbench, with figures like Robert Jenrick, Priti Patel, James Cleverly, and Sir Mel Stride among those at risk.
Such an outcome would represent the worst electoral defeat in the Conservative Party’s history. These developments come just days before Keir Starmer’s appearance at Labour’s annual conference in Liverpool.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has faced several setbacks recently and will need to present a compelling vision to rejuvenate party morale. Criticism from Andy Burnham is expected to weigh heavily on Johnson, with the Greater Manchester Mayor suggesting that significant reforms are necessary for the party’s revival.
In an interview with The Telegraph, Burnham highlighted an “existential” threat to the Labour Party, sparking speculation that he may be considering a return to the Commons to challenge Starmer for the position of Prime Minister.
