NATO, established over 75 years ago, is currently facing its highest level of threat since its inception, experts warn due to ongoing Russian aggression.
Following months of aggressive actions by Russian President Vladimir Putin, including significant violations of Romanian, Estonian, and Polish territories, NATO is showing a willingness to confront the escalating tensions.
Recent statements from Western leaders have sent a clear message to the Kremlin, emphasizing NATO’s readiness to respond decisively if Russian violations persist.
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, reacting to Russian fighter jets breaching Estonian airspace, indicated a firm stance, stating that while there was no immediate need to down the planes during the recent incident, NATO would assess each situation and take necessary action if required.
British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper echoed this sentiment, asserting that the UK is prepared to act against any further Russian aggression, with even US President Donald Trump suggesting shooting down Russian aircraft as a response.
Experts interviewed by Mirror believe that NATO is currently facing the highest risk of conflict since its establishment in 1949. Renowned defense analyst Professor Anthony Glees argues that Russia’s assumptions that NATO will not respond forcefully this time are misguided.
Glees emphasizes the need for immediate action against any violations of NATO airspace, warning that hesitation could embolden Putin to advance further, potentially leading to military aggression in Eastern Europe.
Senior Research Fellow Ed Andrews concurs that NATO is on the brink of armed conflict with Russia, criticizing the alliance for not taking stronger action earlier to deter Putin’s aggressive behavior.
He suggests that NATO should have intervened back in 2014 when Russian troops entered Ukraine, preventing the subsequent annexation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in Donbas.
Andrews stresses the importance of implementing measures to punish Putin for his actions, emphasizing the need for a robust and unified response from NATO to safeguard its member states’ security.
As tensions escalate, NATO’s decision-making process involves consultations among member states and thorough analysis of intelligence before considering potential military responses.
The alliance typically adopts a gradual escalation approach, deploying forces to strategic locations and enhancing surveillance to deter further aggression. Adjusting rules of engagement based on evolving threats is crucial to maintaining a strong defensive posture.
In the event of extreme escalation, NATO may invoke Article 5, triggering collective defense and allowing for joint military operations. However, the path to Article 5 activation is not always straightforward, and the alliance may opt for alternative measures to address security threats effectively.
