The first teaser for Jurassic World: Dominion will debut with IMAX showings of F9.
Sam Neill dropped a teaser poster for Jurassic World: Dominion this afternoon, one that both noted the “one year from now” release date (June 10, 2022, or tonight if you count Thursday previews) and the promise of an extended teaser coming soon to theaters. That extended preview will debut in IMAX theaters playing F9 beginning June 25, although the tease may play with other IMAX features over the next year.
The Tenet prologue debuted with Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker in December 2019, but I also caught it with Birds of Prey in early February of 2020. The film was supposed to open this very weekend, three years after Fallen Kingdom and six years after Jurassic World had Covid not interfered. Nonetheless, there is some symmetry to next summer’s biggest-grossing movie dropping a “first look” teaser in front of this summer’s biggest movie.
Black Widow could overperform here and abroad, or something else will “surprise” to the point where it becomes the season’s biggest Hollywood release. However, the odds are still in F9’s respective favor as being the biggest global grosser of the summer if not (give or take, offhand, Spider-Man: No Way Home or No Time to Die) the year. Sure, we can note that its $215 million-ish gross in China was slightly softer than hoped, but there aren’t any other Hollywood movies this year that can be expected to pull that kind of business going forward.
If it plays anything like Fate of the Furious (a $97 million opening and $226 million finish) in North America beginning in two weeks, well, again, I wouldn’t bet my ten-second car against the Fast Family. As for next summer, Colin Trevorrow’s Jurassic World earned a jaw-dropping $1.651 billion in 2015. J.A Bayona’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom earned $1.308 billion in 2018 (double Ant-Man and the Wasp and triple Solo: A Star Wars Story).
While it’s not the only game in town next year, the Chris Pratt/Bryce Dallas Howard/BD Wong-and-Sam Neill/Laura Dern/Jeff Goldblum mega-sequel is still the presumptive frontrunner.
Looking at films that might offer a challenge, Thor: Love & Thunder would have to jump 52% from Thor: Ragnarok ($854 million) to hit $1.3 billion. That’s possible, as Civil War jumped 61% from Winter Soldier. However, only three non-Iron Man MCU flicks (Black Panther, Captain Marvel and Spider-Man: From From Home) have cracked even $900 million worldwide, and Far From Home was essentially a feature-length wake for Iron Man.
Oh, wait, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is the other movie likely to give Jurassic World 3 a run for its money, even as it (and, yeah, JW3) will likely dip from the bonkers-huge ($1.346 billion) cume of its predecessor. Pixar’s Lightyear is not Toy Story 5, and Mission: Impossible 7 isn’t going to jump 64% from the $792 million gross of Fallout. Likewise, even with inflation and overseas expansion,
James Mangold’s Indiana Jones 5 (next July) isn’t automatically going to crack $1 billion, although I’ll assume it’s budgeted to an extent where it doesn’t have to. Ironically, the one movie likely to challenge Black Panther 2 and Jurassic World 3 for the crown next summer is Universal’s Minions: The Rise of Gru. Sure, there may be a comedown from the previous two Despicable Me movies, but those films earned $968 million in 2013 and $1 billion (tops for the summer) in 2017.
Yes, I just plowed through a “biggest of the big” 2022 summer movie preview, all due respect to the likely “big not but not gigantic” likes of Shazam: Wrath of the Gods and John Wick: Chapter 4. As noted quite a bit last year, Universal was the big studio with the most significant incentive to make sure theaters survived the pandemic. They’ve got this year’s likely summer champion, next year’s likely summer champion, and potential sky-high properties in Minions 2 and No Time to Die (which they will distribute overseas) along with the lower-scaled likes Blumhouse chillers and Illumination giants.
Anyway, it’s almost refreshing to see studios return to long-lead marketing for preordained hit movies, at least in this specific instance. Sure, it’s just playing to the fans, but one IMAX teaser a year out, provided we don’t get anything else until Christmas (the Chris Nolan model, natch), is the very definition of harmless. Anyway, if you’re seeing Justin Lin’s F9 in IMAX starting on June 25, you’ll get the first sneak peek at Colin Trevorrow’s Jurassic World: Dominion. And, yeah, that’s probably as close as we’re going to get to a Fast & Furious/Jurassic cross-over.